Systematic Review of the use of "Magnitude-Based Inference" in Sports Science and Medicine

Magnitude-based inference (MBI) is a controversial statistical method that has been used in hundreds of papers in sports science despite criticism from statisticians. To better understand how this method has been applied in practice, we systematically reviewed 232 papers that used MBI. We extracted data on study design, sample size, and choice of MBI settings and parameters. Median sample size was 10 per group (interquartile range, IQR: 8 – 15) for multi-group studies and 14 (IQR: 10 – 24) for single-group studies; few studies reported a priori sample size calculations (15%). Authors predominantly applied MBI’s default settings and chose “mechanistic/non-clinical” rather than “clinical” MBI even when testing clinical interventions (only 14 studies out of 232 used clinical MBI). Using these data, we can estimate the Type I error rates for the typical MBI study. Authors frequently made dichotomous claims about effects based on the MBI criterion of a “likely” effect and sometimes based on the MBI criterion of a “possible” effect. When the sample size is n=8 to 15 per group, these inferences have Type I error rates of 12%-22% and 22%-45%, respectively. High Type I error rates were compounded by multiple testing: Authors reported results from a median of 30 tests related to outcomes; and few studies specified a primary outcome (14%). We conclude that MBI has promoted small studies, promulgated a “black box” approach to statistics, and led to numerous papers where the conclusions are not supported by the data. Amidst debates over the role of p-values and significance testing in science, MBI also provides an important natural experiment: we find no evidence that moving researchers away from p-values or null hypothesis significance testing makes them less prone to dichotomization or over-interpretation of findings.

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PID https://www.doi.org/10.31236/osf.io/wugcr
PID https://www.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235318
PID pmc:PMC7319293
PID pmid:32589653
URL https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32589653/
URL https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32589653
URL https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235318
URL http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC7319293
URL https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0235318
URL https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/3037533174
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.31236/osf.io/wugcr
URL https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235318
URL http://osf.io/wugcr//download
URL https://plos.figshare.com/collections/Systematic_review_of_the_use_of_magnitude-based_inference_in_sports_science_and_medicine/5041487
URL https://www.safetylit.org/citations/index.php?fuseaction=citations.viewdetails&citationIds[]=citjournalarticle_651084_11
URL https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235318
URL https://osf.io/preprints/sportrxiv/wugcr
URL https://figshare.com/collections/Systematic_review_of_the_use_of_magnitude-based_inference_in_sports_science_and_medicine/5041487
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Access Right Open Access
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Author Lohse, Keith R., 0000-0002-7643-3887
Author Sainani, Kristin L., 0000-0003-0614-303X
Author Taylor, J. Andrew
Author Butson, Michael L.
Author Knight, Emma J.
Author Vickers, Andrew J.
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Collected From PubMed Central; ORCID; UnpayWall; DOAJ-Articles; Crossref; Microsoft Academic Graph; SportRxiv
Hosted By Europe PubMed Central; PLoS ONE; SportRxiv
Publication Date 2020-03-05
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Language UNKNOWN
Resource Type Preprint; Article
keyword SportRxiv|Sport and Exercise Science|Other Sport and Exercise Science
keyword Q
keyword R
keyword bepress|Medicine and Health Sciences|Medical Specialties
keyword bepress|Life Sciences|Kinesiology
keyword SportRxiv|Sport and Exercise Science|Sport and Exercise Medicine
keyword keywords.General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
keyword SportRxiv|Sport and Exercise Science
system:type publication
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Source https://science-innovation-policy.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::f7a60961f317742bda81aef344d490af
Author jsonws_user
Last Updated 22 December 2020, 20:04 (CET)
Created 22 December 2020, 20:04 (CET)