A comparison of oil supply risks in EU, US, Japan, China and India under different climate scenarios

For many countries, the inflow of energy is essential to keep economies running. Oil is typically considered to be the most critical fuel as an input for the petro-chemical and transportation sector and due to limited and less spread reserves. In this study external oil supply risks are assessed for the period up to 2035 for the European Union, United States, China, Japan and India (being the five largest importers of oil in the world), based on their current supplier portfolio. Scenarios are constructed for several climate policy and oil-supply projections.It is found that risks increase strongly, when stringent climate policies are prevented from being implemented, especially when a peak in oil supply is taken into account, resulting in major oil supply-disruptions. China faces the lowest oil supply risks in most scenarios but the trends of India, China and US converge over time due to increasing import dependency of China and India. Japan faces high risks since the country has the highest oil import dependency combined with a low oil import diversification. For the EU, all figures are strongly influenced by Russia, accounting for 32% of total imports, and to a lesser extent Norway (11%), with high overall risks.

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PID https://www.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.10.015
PID urn:URN:NBN:NL:UI:10-1874-329719
URL https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v88y2016icp148-158.html
URL https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0301421515301439?httpAccept=text/xml
URL https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421515301439
URL https://core.ac.uk/display/39821373
URL https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2196888212
URL https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0301421515301439?httpAccept=text/plain
URL https://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/329719
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.10.015
URL https://www.narcis.nl/publication/RecordID/oai%3Adspace.library.uu.nl%3A1874%2F329719
URL https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:enepol:v:88:y:2016:i:c:p:148-158
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Author Wina Crijns-Graus, 0000-0002-9180-3348
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Collected From ORCID; Datacite; Crossref; NARCIS; Microsoft Academic Graph
Hosted By Utrecht University Repository; NARCIS; Energy Policy
Publication Date 2016-01-01
Publisher Elsevier BV
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Country Netherlands
Format image/pdf
Language UNKNOWN
Resource Type Other literature type; Article
keyword keywords.Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
system:type publication
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Source https://science-innovation-policy.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::d9d6795307e9d4f43af563bdea6585b5
Author jsonws_user
Last Updated 26 December 2020, 19:09 (CET)
Created 26 December 2020, 19:09 (CET)