Demand Models With Random Partitions

Many economic models of consumer demand require researchers to partition sets of products or attributes prior to the analysis. These models are common in applied problems when the product space is large or spans multiple categories. While the partition is traditionally fixed a priori, we let the partition be a model parameter and propose a Bayesian method for inference. The challenge is that demand systems are commonly multivariate models that are not conditionally conjugate with respect to partition indices, precluding the use of Gibbs sampling. We solve this problem by constructing a new location-scale partition distribution that can generate random-walk Metropolis–Hastings proposals and also serve as a prior. Our method is illustrated in the context of a store-level category demand model, where we find that allowing for partition uncertainty is important for preserving model flexibility, improving demand forecasts, and learning about the structure of demand. Supplementary materials for this article, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work, are available as an online supplement.

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PID https://www.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3192926
PID https://www.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.8023385.v2
PID https://www.doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2019.1604360
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2019.1604360
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3192926
URL https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3192926
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.8023385.v2
URL https://www.ssrn.com/abstract=3192926
URL https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01621459.2019.1604360
URL https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2896994323
URL https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/01621459.2019.1604360
URL https://amstat.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01621459.2019.1604360
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Author Smith, Adam N., 0000-0003-1959-7962
Author Allenby, Greg M., 0000-0001-9759-0067
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Collected From ORCID; Datacite; Crossref; Microsoft Academic Graph
Hosted By figshare; Journal of the American Statistical Association; SSRN Electronic Journal
Journal SSRN Electronic Journal, null, null
Publication Date 2019-06-04
Publisher Elsevier BV
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Language Undetermined
Resource Type Other literature type; Article
keyword FOS: Chemical sciences
keyword keywords.Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
keyword FOS: Mathematics
system:type publication
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Source https://science-innovation-policy.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::c5e133a5beec273ea8d797767050acc7
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Last Updated 22 December 2020, 19:27 (CET)
Created 22 December 2020, 19:27 (CET)