Teleconnections between oceanic–atmospheric indices and drought over Iran using quantile regressions

In this research, the Bayesian quantile regression model is applied to investigate the teleconnections between large oceanic–atmospheric indices and drought standardized precipitation index (SPI) in Iran. The 12-month SPI time series from 138 synoptic stations for 1952–2014 were selected as the drought index. Three oceanic–atmospheric indices, the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and the Multivariate El Niño/Southern Oscillation Index (MEI), were selected as covariates. The results show that NAO has the weakest impact on drought in different quantiles and different regions in Iran. La Niña conditions amplified droughts through all SPI quantiles in western, Caspian Sea coastal regions and southern regions. The positive phase of MEI significantly modulates low SPI quantiles (i.e. drought conditions) throughout the Zagros region, Caspian Sea coastal regions and southern regions. The study shows that the effect of large oceanic–atmospheric indices have heterogeneous impacts on extreme dry and wet conditions.

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PID https://www.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12854060
PID https://www.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12854060.v1
PID https://www.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2020.1802029
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2020.1802029
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12854060.v1
URL https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/3045945147
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12854060
URL https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/02626667.2020.1802029
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Author Mohsen Amini
Author Mohammad Ghadami
Author Farshad Fathian, 0000-0001-8205-3787
Author Reza Modarres, 0000-0003-3209-2125
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Collected From Datacite; figshare; Crossref; Microsoft Academic Graph
Hosted By figshare; Hydrological Sciences Journal
Publication Date 2020-01-01
Publisher Taylor & Francis
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Language UNKNOWN
Resource Type Other literature type; Article
keyword FOS: Chemical sciences
keyword FOS: Biological sciences
keyword FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences
system:type publication
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Source https://science-innovation-policy.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::b179d0dda1ba116f2e488ce2ca183236
Author jsonws_user
Last Updated 24 December 2020, 23:16 (CET)
Created 24 December 2020, 23:16 (CET)