Rural Youth Welfare along the Rural-urban Gradient: An Empirical Analysis across the Developing World

We use survey data on 170,000 households from Asia, Latin America and Africa, global geo-spatial data, and an economic geography framework to highlight five findings about rural youth in developing countries. First, the youth share in population is falling rapidly, and youth numbers are stable or falling slowly everywhere, except in Africa. In Africa, youth share is rising very slowly, but numbers are set to double in 40 years. Second, large majorities of rural youth live in spaces that are not inherently limiting: two-thirds live in zones with highest agricultural potential, and one-quarter combine this with highest commercialisation potential. The 4% that do live in inherently challenging spaces are concentrated in pockets of persistent poverty in middle-income countries. Third, rural spaces’ commercial potential has large impacts on welfare outcomes, but their agricultural potential has no detectable impact. Fourth, households with young members face income- and poverty ‘penalties’ in all regions and spaces within them, compared to households without young members. The poverty penalty declines sharply over space as commercial potential rises, but the income penalty shows ambiguous patterns. Fifth, households with young members earn lower relative returns to education, with varying patterns over space.

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PID https://www.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12973052
PID https://www.doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2020.1808197
PID https://www.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12973052.v1
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12973052.v1
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2020.1808197
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12973052
URL https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/00220388.2020.1808197
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Author Aslihan Arslan, 0000-0002-4655-6501
Author David E. Tschirley, 0000-0002-7552-0719
Author Eva-Maria Egger
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Collected From Datacite; Crossref
Hosted By figshare; The Journal of Development Studies
Publication Date 2020-09-18
Publisher Taylor & Francis
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Language UNKNOWN
Resource Type Other literature type; Article
keyword FOS: Biological sciences
keyword FOS: Clinical medicine
keyword FOS: Physical sciences
system:type publication
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Source https://science-innovation-policy.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::a8e05d620ac6c4342f20237196be4da5
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Last Updated 26 December 2020, 06:28 (CET)
Created 26 December 2020, 06:28 (CET)