Retrospective voting and party support at elections: credit and blame for government and opposition

ABSTRACT Retrospective voting is arguably one of the most important mechanisms of representative democracy, and whether or not the public holds the government accountable for its policy performance has been extensively studied. In this paper, we test whether retrospective voting extends to parties in the opposition, that is whether and how parties’ past performance evaluations affect their vote, regardless of whether they were in government or in opposition. Taking advantage of a rich set of questions embedded in a representative German national elections panel, we update our knowledge on the retrospective voting mechanism by modeling retrospective voting at the party level. The findings indicate that the incumbent status is not the only criterion for retrospective voting, ultimately suggesting that both government and opposition parties can expect credit and blame for their conduct and this should provide some impetus for responsive performance of all parties.

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PID https://www.doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2016.1243543
PID pmid:28515772
PID https://www.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.4091451.v1
PID https://www.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.4091451
PID pmc:PMC5407355
URL https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2016.1243543
URL http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5407355
URL http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17457289.2016.1243543
URL https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2542250887
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2016.1243543
URL https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/17457289.2016.1243543?needAccess=true
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.4091451.v1
URL https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/17457289.2016.1243543
URL https://core.ac.uk/display/149708963
URL https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2016.1243543
URL https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17457289.2016.1243543
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.4091451
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Access Right Open Access
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Author Plescia, Carolina, 0000-0002-9719-001X
Author Kritzinger, Sylvia, 0000-0003-2765-8200
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Collected From OpenAPC Initiative; Europe PubMed Central; PubMed Central; ORCID; Datacite; figshare; UnpayWall; Crossref; Microsoft Academic Graph
Hosted By OpenAPC Initiative; Europe PubMed Central; figshare; Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties
Publication Date 2016-10-26
Publisher Informa UK Limited
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Language UNKNOWN
Resource Type Other literature type; Conference object; Article; UNKNOWN
keyword FOS: Sociology
keyword FOS: Biological sciences
system:type publication
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Source https://science-innovation-policy.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::99f6dcb523009d437a0a1c9f6778cbc4
Author jsonws_user
Last Updated 27 December 2020, 01:09 (CET)
Created 27 December 2020, 01:09 (CET)