the EURO-HEALTHY project experience

Background: Health inequalities have been consistently reported across and within European countries and continue to pose major challenges to policy-making. The development of scenarios regarding what could affect population health (PH) inequalities across Europe in the future is considered critical. Scenarios can help policy-makers prepare and better cope with fast evolving challenges. Objective: This paper describes the three 2030 time-horizon scenarios developed under the EURO-HEALTHY project, depicting the key factors that may affect the evolution of PH inequalities across European regions. Methods: A three-stage socio-technical approach was applied: i) identification of drivers (key factors expected to affect the evolution of PH inequalities across European regions until 2030) - this stage engaged in a Web-Delphi process a multidisciplinary panel of 51 experts and other stakeholders representing the different perspectives regarding PH inequalities; ii) generation of scenario structures - different drivers' configurations (i.e. their hypotheses for evolution) were organized into coherent scenario structures using the Extreme-World Method; and iii) validation of scenario structures and generation of scenario narratives. Stages ii) and iii) were conducted in two workshops with a strategic group of 13 experts with a wide view about PH inequalities. The scenario narratives were elaborated with the participants' insights from both the Web-Delphi process and the two workshops, together with the use of evidence (both current and future-oriented) on the different areas within the PH domain. Results: Three scenarios were developed for the evolution of PH inequalities in Europe until 2030: 'Failing Europe' (worst-case but plausible picture of the future), 'Sustainable Prosperity' (best-case but plausible picture of the future), and an interim scenario 'Being Stuck' depicting a 'to the best of our knowledge' evolution. These scenarios show the extent to which a combination of Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal and Environmental drivers shape future health inequalities, providing information for European policy-makers to reflect upon whether and how to design robust policy solutions to tackle PH inequalities. Conclusions: The EURO-HEALTHY scenarios were designed to inform both policy design and appraisal. They broaden the scope, create awareness and generate insights regarding the evolution of PH inequalities across European regions. publishersversion published

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PID https://www.doi.org/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8
PID pmc:PMC6593570
PID pmid:31238946
PID https://www.doi.org/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8#citeas
URL https://doi.org/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8
URL https://0-equityhealthj-biomedcentral-com.brum.beds.ac.uk/articles/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8
URL http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC6593570
URL https://equityhealthj.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8
URL https://doaj.org/toc/1475-9276
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8
URL http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85068105031&partnerID=8YFLogxK
URL https://estudogeral.sib.uc.pt/bitstream/10316/89020/1/Scenarios%20for%20population%20health%20inequalities%20in%202030%20in%20Europe.pdf
URL http://hdl.handle.net/10316/89020
URL https://run.unl.pt/handle/10362/84528
URL https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8
URL http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8
URL https://academic.microsoft.com/#/detail/2953750667
URL https://estudogeral.sib.uc.pt/handle/10316/89020
URL https://novaresearch.unl.pt/en/publications/scenarios-for-population-health-inequalities-in-2030-in-europe-th
URL http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8.pdf
URL https://equityhealthj.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8
URL https://run.unl.pt/bitstream/10362/84528/1/Scenarios_for_population_health_inequalities_in_20.pdf
URL http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12939-019-1000-8/fulltext.html
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Access Right Open Access
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Author Paula Santana, 0000-0002-7658-8475
Author Liliana Freitas, 0000-0001-9513-2476
Author Pedro L Ferreira, 0000-0002-9448-9542
Author Ângela Freitas, 0000-0002-1081-2147
Author Monica Duarte Oliveira, 0000-0003-4053-9214
Author Ana Vieira, 0000-0003-3863-1070
Author António Alvarenga, 0000-0002-0606-9098
Contributor NOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE)
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Collected From Estudo Geral; PubMed Central; ORCID; Repositório da Universidade Nova de Lisboa; UnpayWall; Datacite; DOAJ-Articles; Crossref; Microsoft Academic Graph
Hosted By Europe PubMed Central; International Journal for Equity in Health; Estudo Geral; Repositório da Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Journal International Journal for Equity in Health, 18,
Publication Date 2019-06-25
Publisher BioMed Central
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Country Portugal
Language English
Resource Type Other literature type; Article
keyword Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
system:type publication
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Source https://science-innovation-policy.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=dedup_wf_001::037ee596a34badaa886db288ea3e44f2
Author jsonws_user
Last Updated 24 December 2020, 12:53 (CET)
Created 24 December 2020, 12:53 (CET)